PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .263Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 25%Curveball 25%Sinker 16%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.