PITCHER MATCHUP

Braxton Ashcraft vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Braxton Ashcraft's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Braxton Ashcraft's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .262Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 26%Curveball 24%Sinker 15%Splitter 3%Changeup 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Braxton Ashcraft, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SF Sal Frelick LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jackson Chourio SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CY Christian Yelich LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-10 game page →