PITCHER MATCHUP
Brandon Young vs Cincinnati Reds
How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Brandon Young's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 18%Slider 14%Curveball 13%Sinker 11%Cutter 2%Changeup 1%
How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .308
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1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MM Matt McLain RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DM Dane Myers RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.