PITCHER MATCHUP
Brandon Young vs Cincinnati Reds
How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Brandon Young's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .329vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 19%Slider 13%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%Cutter 3%Changeup 1%
How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .309
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1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 584 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 MM Matt McLain RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DM Dane Myers RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.