PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Young vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Young's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 20%Curveball 13%Slider 12%Sinker 8%Cutter 4%Changeup 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JB JJ Bleday LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TF TJ Friedl LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →