PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Young vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Young's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 18%Slider 14%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%Cutter 2%Changeup 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .302
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CW Connor Wong RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TS Trevor Story RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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