PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Young vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Young's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 18%Slider 14%Curveball 13%Sinker 11%Cutter 2%Changeup 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .265
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.