PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Young vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Young's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 18%Slider 14%Curveball 13%Sinker 11%Cutter 2%Changeup 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .267
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.