PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Young vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Young's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .329vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 19%Slider 13%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%Cutter 3%Changeup 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .270
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-17 game page →