PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Young vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Young's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 18%Slider 14%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%Cutter 2%Changeup 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 703 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .469 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.