PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Young vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Young's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 18%Slider 14%Curveball 13%Sinker 11%Cutter 2%Changeup 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WW Weston Wilson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LR Leo Rivas SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JP Jhonny Pereda RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jhonny Pereda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.