PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Young vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Young's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .335vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 19%Curveball 13%Slider 12%Sinker 7%Cutter 4%Changeup 2%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (2% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LR Luke Raley LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MG Mitch Garver RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mitch Garver
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RR Rob Refsnyder RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rob Refsnyder
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .201 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →