PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Young vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Young's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 19%Slider 13%Curveball 13%Sinker 9%Cutter 3%Changeup 2%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .425 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LR Luke Raley LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.