PITCHER MATCHUP
Brandon Young vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Brandon Young's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 19%Slider 13%Curveball 13%Sinker 9%Cutter 3%Changeup 2%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .312
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1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 MO Matt Olson LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 AR Austin Riley RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .347
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.