PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Young vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Young's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Splitter 18%Slider 14%Curveball 13%Sinker 11%Cutter 2%Changeup 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .389
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .425 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.