PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Young vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Young's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 18%Slider 14%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%Cutter 2%Changeup 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .394
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .425 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.