PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Young vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Young's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Young's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Splitter 19%Curveball 13%Slider 13%Sinker 8%Cutter 3%Changeup 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Young, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .390
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .435 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.