PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Woodruff vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Woodruff's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Woodruff's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .232vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Sinker 25%Changeup 19%Cutter 14%Curveball 4%Sweeper 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Woodruff, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 616 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.