PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Woodruff vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Woodruff's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Woodruff's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .232vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Sinker 25%Changeup 19%Cutter 14%Curveball 4%Sweeper 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Woodruff, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 577 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.