PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Woodruff vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Woodruff's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Woodruff's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .233vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 25%Changeup 19%Cutter 15%Curveball 4%Sweeper 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Woodruff, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MM Matt McLain RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JB JJ Bleday LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BD Blake Dunn RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blake Dunn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-22 game page →