PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Woodruff vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Woodruff's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Woodruff's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .231vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Sinker 25%Changeup 19%Cutter 14%Curveball 4%Sweeper 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Woodruff, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 PR Pedro Ramírez SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Matt Shaw RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Shaw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GA Gabriel Arias RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Arias
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.