PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Williamson vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Williamson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Williamson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .437vs RHH xwOBA .373Seasons 2026–2024
Cutter 29%Changeup 23%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Sinker 11%Sweeper 10%Curveball 9%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Williamson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Cutter (29% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Cutter (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Cutter (29% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Cutter (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Cutter (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Cutter (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Cutter (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Cutter (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
    • Cutter (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-02 game page →