PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Williamson vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Williamson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Williamson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .387vs RHH xwOBA .371Seasons 2026–2024
Cutter 32%Changeup 21%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Sweeper 11%Sinker 9%Curveball 9%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Williamson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 669 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-22 game page →