PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Williamson vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Williamson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Williamson's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .387vs RHH xwOBA .371Seasons 2026–2024
Cutter 32%Changeup 21%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Sweeper 11%Sinker 9%Curveball 9%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Williamson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-27 game page →