PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Sproat vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Sproat's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Sproat's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .347Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 20%Curveball 11%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Unknown 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Sproat, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.