PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Sproat vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Sproat's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Sproat's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .340Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 27%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 12%Sweeper 10%Changeup 9%Unknown 2%Slider 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Sproat, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MM Matt McLain RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JB JJ Bleday LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Blake Dunn RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blake Dunn
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →