PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Sproat vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Sproat's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Sproat's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .348Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 20%Curveball 11%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Unknown 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Sproat, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.