PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Sproat vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Sproat's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Sproat's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .348Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 20%Curveball 11%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Unknown 2%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Sproat, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.