PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Sproat vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Sproat's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Sproat's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .336Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 12%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Unknown 2%Slider 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Sproat, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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