PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Sproat vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Sproat's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Sproat's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .348Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 20%Curveball 11%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Unknown 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Sproat, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 596 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Juan Soto LHB .387
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .469 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.