PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Sproat vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Sproat's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Sproat's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .348Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 20%Curveball 11%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Unknown 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Sproat, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BB Brett Baty LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MS Marcus Semien RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Juan Soto LHB .388
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .476 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FL Francisco Lindor SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-20 game page →