PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Sproat vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Sproat's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Sproat's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .347Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 20%Curveball 11%Sweeper 11%Changeup 9%Unknown 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Sproat, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .387
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .462 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.