PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Pfaadt vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Sinker 21%Sweeper 18%Changeup 15%Curveball 11%Cutter 9%Slider 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 577 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .403
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .431 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .479 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .441 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-19 game page →