PITCHER MATCHUP
Brandon Pfaadt vs Texas Rangers
How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sinker 21%Sweeper 18%Changeup 15%Curveball 11%Cutter 9%Slider 1%
How the Texas Rangers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .311
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1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 647 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JB Jake Burger RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 EC Evan Carter LHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 CS Corey Seager LHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-12 game page →