PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Pfaadt vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sinker 21%Sweeper 18%Changeup 15%Curveball 11%Cutter 9%Slider 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 686 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .438 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-31 game page →