PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Pfaadt vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Sinker 21%Sweeper 18%Changeup 15%Curveball 11%Cutter 9%Slider 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .431 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.