PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Pfaadt vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sinker 23%Sweeper 19%Changeup 14%Curveball 11%Cutter 8%Slider 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF Ty France RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.