PITCHER MATCHUP
Brandon Pfaadt vs San Francisco Giants
How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sinker 22%Sweeper 18%Changeup 14%Curveball 11%Cutter 9%Slider 1%
How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .314
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1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 590 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 WA Willy Adames RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CK Christian Koss RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 VB Victor Bericoto RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Bericoto
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
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9 OB Osleivis Basabe RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Osleivis Basabe
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.