PITCHER MATCHUP
Brandon Pfaadt vs San Francisco Giants
How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .352vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sinker 23%Sweeper 19%Changeup 14%Curveball 11%Cutter 8%Slider 1%
How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .314
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1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 WA Willy Adames RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 565 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 LA Luis Arraez LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 623 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MC Matt Chapman RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
- Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.