PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Pfaadt vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Sinker 21%Sweeper 18%Changeup 15%Curveball 11%Cutter 9%Slider 1%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MC Matt Chapman RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CK Christian Koss RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.