PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Pfaadt vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sinker 23%Sweeper 19%Changeup 14%Curveball 11%Cutter 8%Slider 1%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 AP Andy Pages RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 557 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AF Alex Freeland SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-11 game page →