PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Pfaadt vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Sinker 21%Sweeper 18%Changeup 15%Curveball 11%Cutter 9%Slider 1%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.