PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Pfaadt vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sinker 21%Sweeper 18%Changeup 15%Curveball 11%Cutter 9%Slider 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jimmy Crooks LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jimmy Crooks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.