PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Pfaadt vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Sinker 21%Sweeper 18%Changeup 15%Curveball 11%Cutter 9%Slider 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 675 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.