PITCHER MATCHUP

Brandon Pfaadt vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brandon Pfaadt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brandon Pfaadt's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Sinker 21%Sweeper 18%Changeup 15%Curveball 11%Cutter 9%Slider 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brandon Pfaadt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JJ Jim Jarvis LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jim Jarvis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Sean Murphy RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sean Murphy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.