PITCHER MATCHUP

Bradgley Rodriguez vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bradgley Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bradgley Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .211vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025
Changeup 38%Sinker 29%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Cutter 9%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bradgley Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Changeup (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Changeup (38% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Changeup (38% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Changeup (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Changeup (38% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Changeup (38% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Changeup (38% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JF José Fermín RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Changeup (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Changeup (38% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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