PITCHER MATCHUP

Bradgley Rodriguez vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bradgley Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bradgley Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .231vs RHH xwOBA .250Seasons 2026–2025
Changeup 40%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 27%Cutter 5%Slider 2%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bradgley Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.