PITCHER MATCHUP

Bradgley Rodriguez vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bradgley Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bradgley Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .206vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025
Changeup 39%Sinker 27%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Cutter 7%Slider 2%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bradgley Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Changeup (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Changeup (39% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Changeup (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Changeup (39% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Changeup (39% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Changeup (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Changeup (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Changeup (39% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Changeup (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.