PITCHER MATCHUP

Bradgley Rodriguez vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Bradgley Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Bradgley Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .215vs RHH xwOBA .266Seasons 2026–2025
Changeup 40%Sinker 26%Four-Seam Fastball 26%Cutter 5%Slider 2%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Bradgley Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MW Masyn Winn RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NC Nathan Church LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JF José Fermín RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VS Victor Scott II LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Changeup (40% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.