PITCHER MATCHUP

Brad Lord vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brad Lord's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brad Lord's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sinker 21%Slider 20%Changeup 9%Sweeper 6%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brad Lord, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.