PITCHER MATCHUP

Brad Lord vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brad Lord's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brad Lord's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Changeup 10%Sweeper 6%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brad Lord, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-15 game page →