PITCHER MATCHUP

Brad Lord vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brad Lord's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brad Lord's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sinker 21%Slider 20%Changeup 9%Sweeper 6%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brad Lord, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .336
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .412
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .458 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MV Mark Vientos RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.