PITCHER MATCHUP

Brad Lord vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Brad Lord's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Brad Lord's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .375vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Changeup 10%Sweeper 6%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Brad Lord, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.