PITCHER MATCHUP

Blake Snell vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blake Snell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blake Snell's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .246vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Curveball 23%Changeup 21%Slider 11%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blake Snell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-29 game page →