PITCHER MATCHUP

Blake Snell vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blake Snell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blake Snell's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .247vs RHH xwOBA .259Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Curveball 23%Changeup 20%Slider 11%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blake Snell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.