PITCHER MATCHUP

Blake Snell vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blake Snell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blake Snell's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .244vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Curveball 23%Changeup 21%Slider 11%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blake Snell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nick Loftin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .270
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Starling Marte RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.