PITCHER MATCHUP

Blake Snell vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blake Snell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blake Snell's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .239vs RHH xwOBA .261Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Curveball 23%Changeup 20%Slider 11%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blake Snell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .265
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.