PITCHER MATCHUP

Blake Snell vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blake Snell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blake Snell's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .244vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Curveball 23%Changeup 21%Slider 11%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blake Snell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .302
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-17 game page →