PITCHER MATCHUP

Blake Snell vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blake Snell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blake Snell's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .269vs RHH xwOBA .258Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Curveball 23%Changeup 20%Slider 11%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blake Snell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .299
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .214 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 SS Spencer Steer RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.