PITCHER MATCHUP

Blake Snell vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blake Snell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blake Snell's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .249vs RHH xwOBA .258Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Curveball 23%Changeup 20%Slider 11%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blake Snell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 610 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .215 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-16 game page →