PITCHER MATCHUP

Blake Snell vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blake Snell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blake Snell's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .247vs RHH xwOBA .259Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Curveball 23%Changeup 20%Slider 11%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blake Snell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .220 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.