PITCHER MATCHUP

Blake Snell vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blake Snell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blake Snell's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .269vs RHH xwOBA .258Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Curveball 23%Changeup 20%Slider 11%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blake Snell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.