PITCHER MATCHUP

Blake Snell vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blake Snell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blake Snell's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .249vs RHH xwOBA .258Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Curveball 23%Changeup 20%Slider 11%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blake Snell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .225 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.