PITCHER MATCHUP

Blade Tidwell vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blade Tidwell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blade Tidwell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .386vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sweeper 29%Sinker 17%Slider 11%Changeup 4%Curveball 3%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blade Tidwell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VC Victor Caratini SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-21 game page →