PITCHER MATCHUP

Blade Tidwell vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blade Tidwell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blade Tidwell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Sweeper 31%Slider 14%Sinker 13%Changeup 5%Curveball 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blade Tidwell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 615 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-22 game page →