PITCHER MATCHUP

Blade Tidwell vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blade Tidwell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blade Tidwell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .365vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sweeper 31%Sinker 15%Slider 13%Changeup 5%Curveball 3%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blade Tidwell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-03 game page →