PITCHER MATCHUP

Blade Tidwell vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blade Tidwell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blade Tidwell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .380vs RHH xwOBA .274Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sweeper 31%Sinker 17%Slider 12%Changeup 4%Curveball 3%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blade Tidwell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VS Victor Scott II LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-09 game page →