PITCHER MATCHUP

Blade Tidwell vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blade Tidwell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blade Tidwell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Sweeper 30%Slider 14%Sinker 14%Changeup 4%Curveball 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blade Tidwell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .385
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-10 game page →