PITCHER MATCHUP

Blade Tidwell vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blade Tidwell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blade Tidwell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sweeper 29%Sinker 17%Slider 11%Changeup 4%Curveball 3%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blade Tidwell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .384
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .459 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.