PITCHER MATCHUP

Blade Tidwell vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Blade Tidwell's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Blade Tidwell's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sweeper 29%Sinker 17%Slider 11%Changeup 4%Curveball 3%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Blade Tidwell, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .384
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .459 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BM Brice Matthews RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.