PITCHER MATCHUP

Ben Brown vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ben Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ben Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Knuckle Curve 38%Sinker 8%Changeup 5%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ben Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-19 game page →