PITCHER MATCHUP

Ben Brown vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ben Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ben Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Knuckle Curve 38%Sinker 9%Changeup 5%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ben Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.