PITCHER MATCHUP

Ben Brown vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ben Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ben Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Knuckle Curve 38%Sinker 9%Changeup 5%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ben Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.