PITCHER MATCHUP
Anthony Molina vs San Diego Padres
How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Molina's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Anthony Molina's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .387vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Changeup 20%Slider 15%Curveball 13%Sinker 2%Cutter 2%SV 1%
How the San Diego Padres's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Molina, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .355
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MM Manny Machado RHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TF Ty France RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.