PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Molina vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Molina's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Molina's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .420vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 21%Slider 16%Curveball 12%Sinker 3%Cutter 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Molina, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 599 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Juan Soto LHB .406
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .458 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-05 game page →