PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Molina vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Molina's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Molina's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .417vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 20%Slider 16%Curveball 13%Sinker 2%Cutter 2%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Molina, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MW Masyn Winn RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 NC Nathan Church LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JF José Fermín RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VS Victor Scott II LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-16 game page →