PITCHER MATCHUP
Anthony Molina vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Molina's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Anthony Molina's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .420vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Changeup 21%Slider 16%Curveball 12%Sinker 3%Cutter 2%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Molina, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .321
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .288
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.