PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Painter vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Painter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Painter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Slider 19%Sweeper 16%Splitter 9%Sinker 9%Changeup 9%Curveball 7%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Painter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.