PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Painter vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Painter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Painter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .363Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Slider 21%Splitter 13%Sweeper 13%Sinker 10%Curveball 8%Changeup 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Painter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DC Dylan Crews RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-05 game page →