PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Painter vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Painter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Painter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Slider 19%Sweeper 16%Splitter 9%Sinker 9%Changeup 9%Curveball 7%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Painter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .385
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .435 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-19 game page →