PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Painter vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Painter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Painter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Slider 22%Splitter 14%Sweeper 11%Sinker 11%Curveball 9%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Painter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.