PITCHER MATCHUP
Andrew Painter vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Painter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Andrew Painter's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Slider 18%Sweeper 16%Changeup 10%Sinker 8%Splitter 8%Curveball 6%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Painter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.