PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Painter vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Painter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Painter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Slider 18%Sweeper 16%Changeup 10%Sinker 8%Splitter 8%Curveball 6%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Painter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 603 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.