PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Painter vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Painter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Painter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .361Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Slider 21%Splitter 14%Sweeper 11%Sinker 10%Curveball 9%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Painter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 WC William Contreras RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BT Brice Turang LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SF Sal Frelick LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luis Rengifo SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CY Christian Yelich LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JC Jackson Chourio RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.