PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Painter vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Painter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Painter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Slider 19%Sweeper 16%Splitter 9%Sinker 9%Changeup 8%Curveball 7%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Painter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.