PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Painter vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Painter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Painter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Slider 22%Splitter 14%Sweeper 11%Sinker 11%Curveball 9%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Painter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.