PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Painter vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Painter's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Painter's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .348Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Slider 20%Sweeper 15%Splitter 11%Sinker 9%Curveball 8%Changeup 5%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Painter, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MT Mike Trout RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JL Josh Lowe LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Jose Siri RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Siri
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TH Tyler Heineman SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Heineman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-28 game page →